VALU 2002 - SVT exit poll survey parliamentary election 2002

SND-ID: snd0787-1. Version: 2.0. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5878/002189

Is part of collection at SND: SVT exit poll surveys

Citation

Alternative title

VALU02

Creator/Principal investigator(s)

Hans Hernborn - Sveriges Television

Sören Holmberg - University of Gothenburg, Department of Political Science

Torbjörn Thedéen - Royal Institute of Technology, Division of Safety Research

Per Näsman - Royal Institute of Technology, Division of Safety Research

Research principal

Sveriges Television rorId

Description

This exit poll survey (VALU, an abbreviation for vallokalsundersökning) was carried out in connection with the parliamentary election on September 15, 2002.

In VALU, voters leaving polling stations are asked by public service broadcaster Sveriges Television (SVT) to fill in a questionnaire and put it anonymously in a sealed box. After collecting and processing the responses, Sveriges Television is able to present an election forecast and an analysis of the reasons underlying the outcome of the election in its Election Night broadcast. The first exit poll survey in Sweden was carried out at the parliamentary election in 1991. Since then similar studies have been carried out in connection with all Parliamentary elections, referendums and elections to the European Parliament.

Voters leaving the polling stations were asked to fill in a questionnaire including questions on: party voted for in the general and local elections; time for decision how to vote; preferred formation of the government after the election; party voted for in the general election 1998; opinion on the Swedish EU membership;

... Show more..
This exit poll survey (VALU, an abbreviation for vallokalsundersökning) was carried out in connection with the parliamentary election on September 15, 2002.

In VALU, voters leaving polling stations are asked by public service broadcaster Sveriges Television (SVT) to fill in a questionnaire and put it anonymously in a sealed box. After collecting and processing the responses, Sveriges Television is able to present an election forecast and an analysis of the reasons underlying the outcome of the election in its Election Night broadcast. The first exit poll survey in Sweden was carried out at the parliamentary election in 1991. Since then similar studies have been carried out in connection with all Parliamentary elections, referendums and elections to the European Parliament.

Voters leaving the polling stations were asked to fill in a questionnaire including questions on: party voted for in the general and local elections; time for decision how to vote; preferred formation of the government after the election; party voted for in the general election 1998; opinion on the Swedish EU membership; vote intention in a referendum on Swedish EMU-membership; placement on a political left-right scale; confidence in Swedish politicians; gender, age, occupational group, union membership and church attendance. The respondents also had to indicate how important a number of items were for the decision how to vote, as well as the importance of the party leader.

In VALU, Sweden (constituencies) is divided into geographical regions grouped around major university cities. In each of the regions, a university teacher is engaged as regional survey leader. The survey leaders act as supervisors for the field agents who carry out the survey in the polling stations and early voting stations respectively. All survey leaders have knowledge of statistical methodology.

Purpose:
Provide analytical support for the election night broadcast on Swedish television during the election night, and for other post-election analysis. Show less..

Data contains personal data

No

Language

Method and outcome

Unit of analysis

Population

Swedish electorate

Sampling procedure

Mixed probability and non-probability
In VALU a selection is made of a number of electoral districts and in this way their respective polling station. The number of electoral districts to be selected for VALU is allocated among the different regions according to the size of the electorate. Within each region, the electoral districts are then selected to be included in VALU. This selection is based on the size and geographical location of the electoral district.

Time period(s) investigated

2002

Variables

49

Number of individuals/objects

8936

Data format / data structure

Data collection
  • Mode of collection: Self-administered questionnaire: paper
  • Time period(s) for data collection: 2002-09-02 – 2002-09-15
  • Data collector: Sveriges Television
  • Instrument: VALU 2002 (Questionnaire)
  • Source of the data: Population group
Geographic coverage

Geographic spread

Geographic location: Sweden

Highest geographic unit

Country

Administrative information
Topic and keywords

Research area

Elections (CESSDA Topic Classification)

Political behaviour and attitudes (CESSDA Topic Classification)

Social sciences (Standard för svensk indelning av forskningsämnen 2011)

Political science (Standard för svensk indelning av forskningsämnen 2011)

Publications

Sort by name | Sort by year

Hernborn, Hans (2002). Valu : Swedish exit polls. Stockholm: Sveriges television (SVT)
Libris

Hernborn, Hans, Holmberg, Sören & Näsman, Per (2006). Valu i allmänhetens tjänst. Stockholm: Sveriges television (SVT)
Swepub | Till lärosätets (gu) databas | Libris

Hernborn, Hans, Holmberg, Sören, Näsman, Per, & Thedéen, Torbjörn (2003) Valu : Sveriges Televisions vallokalsundersökningar. Stockholm: SVT.

Arndt, C. (2013). The Electoral Consequences of Third Way Welfare State Reforms: Social Democracy's Transformation and its Political Costs. Amsterdam University Press.
Libris | Read fulltext
ISBN: 978-90-8964-450-3

Jussila Hammes, J., Political economics or Keynesian demand-side policies: What determines transport
infrastructure investment in Swedish municipalities?, Research in Transportation Economics (2015), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/
j.retrec.2015.07.007
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0739885915000323
ISSN: 0739-8859

If you have published anything based on these data, please notify us with a reference to your publication(s). If you are responsible for the catalogue entry, you can update the metadata/data description in DORIS.

Versions

Version 2.0. 2014-09-11

Version 2.0: 2014-09-11

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5878/002189

Harmonization of missing data codes: NA=999

Version 1.1. 2008-12-03

Version 1.1: 2008-12-03

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5878/001509

Version 1.0. 2003-02-20

Version 1.0: 2003-02-20

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5878/001057

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Is part of collection at SND

Published: 2014-09-11
Last updated: 2024-09-04